May 30 2007
Can you hear the hoofbeats?
***Further Thoughts Below***
A friend of mine emailed me this recent article from Newsweek and it was ominously titled, “A Return to Pastoral Europe?” For a few years now, we were becoming acclimatized to the notion of a Eurabia, where with the catastrophic decline in European birthrates simultaneous with the infusion of Muslim immigrants will radically change the face of Europe. A Muslim Continental Europe is now a virtual inevitability, even if native Europeans decide to fight at this late date (provided they won’t nuke all the entire Mideast, that is).
But the implications of an imploding Europe is far more ominous than I would have imagined. Seeing spread of Islam into an imploding Europe is only seeing it from one angle.
This is not decades off. It’s happening right now…
Germans are getting used to a new kind of immigrant. In 1998, a pack of wolves crossed the shallow Neisse River on the Polish-German border. In the empty landscape of Eastern Saxony, speckled with abandoned strip mines and declining villages, the wolves found plenty of deer and rarely encountered humans. They multiplied so quickly that a second pack has since split off, colonizing a second-growth pine forest 30 kilometers further west. Soon, says local wildlife biologist Gesa Kluth, a third pack will likely form, possibly heading northward in the direction of Berlin.
Wolves returning to the heart of Europe? A hundred years ago, a burgeoning, land-hungry population killed off the last of Germany’s wolves. Today, it’s the local humans whose numbers are under threat. Wolf-country villages like Boxberg and Weisswasser are emptying out, thanks to the region’s ultralow birthrate and continued rural flight. Nearby Hoyerswerda is Germany’s fastest-shrinking town, losing 25,000 of its 70,000 residents in the last 15 years.
Such numbers are a harbinger of the future. Home to 22 of the world’s 25 lowest-birthrate countries, Europe will lose 41 million people by 2030 even with continued immigration, according to the latest U.N. Population Division report. The biggest decline will hit rural Europe. As Italians, Spaniards, Germans and others produce barely half the children needed to maintain the status quo—and rural flight continues to suck people into Europe’s suburbs and cities—the countryside will lose close to a third of its population, say both the United Nations and the EU. “It’s a triple time bomb,” says University of Lisbon demographer Nuno da Costa. “Too few children, too many old people and too many of the remaining young people still leaving the village.”
The implications of this transformation touch on everything from tourism to retirement locales to government conservation and agricultural policies. Our postcard view of Europe, after all, is of a continent where every scrap of land has long been farmed, fenced off and settled, where every tree has been measured, counted and named. But the continent of the future may look rather different. “Big parts of Europe will renaturalize,” says Reiner Klingholz, head of the Berlin Institute for Population Development. Bears are back in Austria. In Swiss alpine valleys, farms have been receding and forests are growing back in. In parts of France and Germany, wildcats and ospreys have re-established their range.
This sounds like an eco-environmentalist’s dream, inspiring loose talk of a Europe Pastoral—the return of wide-open spaces and primeval wilderness to a densely settled landscape. Yet the truth is more varied, and interesting…
You can read the rest here.
Further thoughts:
Within the context of Europe’s collapsed demographics, I think it’s understandable their coddling and surrendering to the Muslim extremists abroad and in their own soil. They cannot generate the numbers required to fight a war against the Islamofascists in the Mideast, and they don’t have the numbers required to defend themselves from the Islamofascists in their own countries.
What can they do but accommodate and surrender and buy time?
What the urban Muslims in Europe don’t understand is that once the native Europeans go, they’ll go down with them. No services. No electricity. Hell, they won’t even have enough people to operate the plumbing, and once the plumbing goes, diseases will again run rampant. They will be dominant in Europe for all of a few minutes before the curtain closes. Furthermore, the Arab Muslim states neighboring Europe heavily relies on European and American technology and food just to sustain itself. With Europe down for the count and the possibility of another period of American isolationism, what chance do the Arab Muslims have?
We are seeing an entire civilization implode with a whimper. The environmentalists/Leftists/Buildaburger crowd are trying to engineer the human population to its lowest possible number. The problem they just don’t seem to get is that everything shuts down. To live in a high-tech civilization and fly around in your private jets, you’ve got to have a critical mass of people doing the grunt work. That takes sheer numbers. Without sheer numbers, everything implodes back to a Dark Age.
For instance, you’ve got to have people to mine and drill the ground for oil. You’ve got to have people to mine the mountains for iron ores. You’ve got to have people to grow rubber. Etc. Etc. Ad nauseum. Ad infinitum. The myriads of factors required to make a civilization go is virtually infinite and virtual incalculable. It would be folly to think you can game the system and divert it to do your bidding.
What’s more, I don’t think that the Muslims would resume their eternal war with the infidels if they thought they didn’t have a chance. They only halted their conquest of Europe because of the Crusades, gunpowder and the industrial revolution. And as it turned out, it was only a few hundred year hiatus. Now that Europe is imploding and is weak, they’ve resumed their offensive.
In any case, for Europe, it’s done. I don’t think we will have the luxury of sitting back with our binoculars from across the Atlantic and eat popcorn while Europe goes the way of the Titanic.
I think our current War on Terror is but just a prelude to the worldwide upheaval this event will cause.
The main attraction is yet to come…
